Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.198282 1.466696 1.813790 2.310629 3.031279 4.089033e+00 5.872569
2025-04-27 0.874983 1.178565 1.636202 2.433883 3.945081 7.159490e+00 16.880405
2025-05-04 0.692527 0.985284 1.468981 2.428529 4.648002 1.126058e+01 54.544180
2025-05-11 0.569894 0.839064 1.310841 2.333476 5.083160 1.617114e+01 250.702808
2025-05-18 0.502152 0.763032 1.246428 2.390344 6.008173 2.765037e+01 NaN
2025-05-25 0.457505 0.715495 1.218966 2.517180 7.403611 5.783781e+01 NaN
2025-06-01 0.412948 0.658664 1.155809 2.520148 8.413138 1.176038e+02 NaN
2025-06-08 0.370427 0.598308 1.070230 2.420068 8.847178 2.177976e+02 NaN
2025-06-15 0.348299 0.573636 1.057671 2.538086 10.890183 1.497361e+03 NaN
2025-06-22 0.323858 0.540565 1.018047 2.550373 12.417941 5.124003e+06 NaN
2025-06-29 0.298994 0.503355 0.961096 2.477485 13.193401 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.278729 0.473272 0.916276 2.432365 14.276307 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.271184 0.469436 0.938234 2.670180 20.218733 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.260310 0.457117 0.935896 2.813792 26.819558 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.245893 0.435307 0.903615 2.805870 31.081227 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.229992 0.408611 0.853404 2.688769 32.004056 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.220721 0.395946 0.840890 2.758625 40.738158 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.214254 0.388957 0.843501 2.915056 59.243182 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.204884 0.374296 0.820821 2.918725 72.455761 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.193719 0.354513 0.779843 2.795210 73.664846 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.188799 0.349049 0.781997 2.940914 116.103150 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.181793 0.337980 0.764912 2.956123 153.050773 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.173526 0.323257 0.734266 2.866012 165.393852 NaN NaN